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The Risk Management Safety Net: Market Penetration and Potential

VIII. Market Penetration for Hay, Livestock, Nursery, and Pasture/Range/Forage

Market Penetration for Hay, Pasture-Range-Forage, and Livestock

Hay, nursery, livestock, and pasture, range, and forage are all large commodities grown across the U.S. While the majority of field crops have good participation in the crop insurance program, market penetration for hay crops has been only 8-9 percent for the last several years, although this is up from the 3 percent in 2000 and 1 percent in 1990.

Additional risk management protection has recently become available for hay producers with the new Annual Forage (AF) Insurance product, which began with the 2014 crop year and covers annual hay. The Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage (PRF) program, which provides protection for perennial hay was expanded to an additional 19 states beginning with the 2016 crop year. With the release of the AF program and the expansion of the PRF program, market penetration is expected to increase for hay in the future. Additionally, early market indicators are that hay growers are also choosing to use the new WFRP insurance to insure hay. Based on the large market potential for hay shown in the table below, research on how to expand the risk management safety net for hay producers is a priority that RMA has identified and is currently pursuing through work with stakeholders.

Federal Crop Insurance: Hay Market Penetration

Crop Category

1990

2000

2011

2015

2016

Hay*

NASS Hay Value

$11,138,492,000

$11,179,702,000

$18,251,166,000

16,548,834,000

15,625,517,000

NASS Acres

61,557,000

59,854,000

55,653,000

54,447,000

53,461,000

RMA Acres

379,104

2,004,567

4,641,842

4,707,661

4,402,609

Market Penetration

1%

3%

8%

9%

8%

*Includes hay covered under Forage Production, Annual Forage, and Pasture/ Rangeland/ Forage.

Data as of March 23, 2017

Pasture, Rangeland and Forage coverage is now available across the lower 48 states. The PRF product uses a Rainfall Index to insure against a decline in an index value that is based on the long-term historical average precipitation for the same area of land and time period.

Federal Crop Insurance: Pasture-Rangeland Market Penetration for 2015

Crop

Summed
2015 Acres

US Acres/
NASS

Market
Penetration

Data Source

PASTURE, RANGELAND, FORAGE
(no hay included)

52,981,101

741,000,000

7%

ERS-Major uses of land-2007

Data as of April 3, 2017

Livestock insurance was first authorized to be offered as a pilot program in 2000, as compared to crop commodities that began as early as the 1930’s. The two livestock products currently available are Livestock Gross Margin (LGM) which provides coverage for the margin between the value of the livestock and feed costs, and Livestock Risk Protection (LRP) which provides protection against a decline in price. Livestock is also covered under the WFRP product, but very limited participation was seen until 2016 when the WFRP policy eligibility limit for livestock was modified to a straight $1 million. Because of this, WFRP livestock insurance coverage will be reported in future analyses. The following table shows 2015 livestock market penetration:

Federal Crop Insurance: Livestock Insurance Market Penetration for 2015*

Livestock

2015 Total Insured Head/
CWT Milk

2015 NASS Total Head/CWT

Market Penetration

Source for U.S. Numbers

Cattle (head)

232,192

29,204,200

1%

NASS Livestock Slaughter 2015 Jan-Dec Summary (Sum of Cattle on Feed, Heifers, Bulls, Steers, Calves (excluding breeding stock))

Dairy (cwt)

48,721,339

2,086,330,000

2%

NASS Milk Production, report dated January 2017

Lamb (head)

4,063

2,223,500

Less than 1%

NASS Livestock Slaughter 2015 Jan-Dec Summary

Swine (head)

157,311

115,425,200

Less than 1%

NASS Livestock Slaughter 2015 Jan-Dec Summary

*Livestock are subject to a statutory expense funding limitation of $20 million

Data as of April 3, 2017

Livestock market penetration is very low and is expected to remain low due to the legislated funding cap for expenses related to livestock sales. Expenses for livestock insurance programs are statutorily limited in the Act to $20 million per Fiscal Year. Livestock insurance expenses include premium subsidy paid on behalf of producers, and the administrative and operating subsidy paid on behalf of producers to insurance companies for selling and servicing the products.

The funding for expenses related to underwriting the various livestock insurance products is allocated across all livestock insurance products, and managed throughout the year to spread the allocations between products to assure that producers of all the insurable species have opportunities to purchase insurance and that the funds are fully utilized for the Fiscal Year. Given this funding limitation on expenses, Federal crop insurance will be unable to capture a significant portion of the market for livestock.

Market Penetration for Products Measured By Farm Revenue or Commodity Value

Some Federal crop insurance programs are based on expected revenue or value of the commodities and not measured by acres or number of head. The following table shows the 2015 market penetration for these crops. This was the first year for the new WFRP product which was offered in 45 states and sold in 33 states with an average per policy insurance coverage of just under $550,000. In 2016 WFRP became the first Federal crop insurance policy to be offered nationwide in every state and county.

The Apiculture program, providing coverage for an index measuring lack of rainfall compared to historic rainfall as a proxy to measure vegetation necessary for honey production, continues to have strong participation with 35 percent of the total market covered, up 32 percent from the 3 percent covered in 2011. This program was expanded from being available in 30 states in 2017 to providing risk management protection for bees and honey in the contiguous 48 states beginning with the 2018 crop year.

Federal Crop Insurance: Insurance Market Penetration for Other Products, 2015

Liability

Liability Adjusted to 100%
(Full Value)

U.S. Value

Market Penetration

Data Source

WHOLE FARM REVENUE PROTECTION

$1,147,880,915

$1,515,087,792

$439,694,943,000

Less than 1%

ERS Gross Farm Income-US Farm Financial Indicators 2011-2017F

APICULTURE

$101,171,101

$112,558,780

$326,081,000

35%

NASS 2015 Honey value-March 2015

CLAMS

$17,272,460

$27,269,224

$206,299,000

13%

2013 Value taken from Fisheries of the United States, 2014 - NOAA

NURSERY (FG&C)

$1,462,389,137

$2,801,528,331

$13,789,048,000

20%

Census 2012-Horticultural Crops as of 2014

OYSTERS

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Program Suspended for 2014

RAISINS

$243,622,763

$376,397,680

$696,796,000

54%

NASS Non-Citrus Fruits & Nuts July 2016

RMA data as of April 3, 2017



Contact Information

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