Frequently Asked Questions
Group Risk Income Protection
Jun 5, 2008
Group Risk Income Protection (GRIP) plan of insurance provides protection against an unexpected
decline in revenues, whether due to low yields, low prices, or a combination thereof. GRIP combines the
yield coverage of the Group Risk Plan (GRP) with price protection similar to the Revenue Assurance (RA)
and Crop Revenue Coverage (CRC) policies. The GRIP, RA and CRC use commodity futures
prices from various
commodity exchanges in areas around the country.
GRIP coverage can be enhanced if the producer selects the Harvest Revenue Option (HRO), which provides
upside harvest price protection when the final county yield is less than the expected county yield and the
harvest price is greater than the expected price. The GRIP product is available in all counties offering
GRP. GRIP is available for corn, cotton, grain sorghum, soybeans, and wheat. Beginning with 2006, the price
discovery periods for determining
base prices for GRIP were made consistent with the price discovery periods for CRC.
Q: Is GRIP an actuarially sound plan of insurance?
A: GRIP appears to be actuarially sound. As Table 1 shows, the average loss ratio
for GRIP is 0.68, which is comparable to loss ratios for other revenue products such
as CRC and RA. This is a favorable performance and does not indicate the presence of
any significant or general problems with the actuarial soundness of GRIP. The GRIP
corn loss ratio has averaged 0.80 over the period of 1999 through 2007, despite an unusual series of
significant within-season price declines during many of these years. Even with the series of price declines,
the average loss ratio for GRIP corn is only moderately higher than the loss ratios
for RA and CRC.
Table 1: Loss Ratios for GRIP, RA, and CRC
Year |
Corn |
Soybeans |
Total |
|
GRIP |
RA |
CRC |
GRIP |
RA |
CRC |
GRIP |
RA |
CRC |
2007 |
0.28 |
0.32 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.52 |
0.65 |
0.31 |
0.43 |
0.62 |
2006 |
0.07 |
0.73 |
0.48 |
0.03 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.10 |
0.63 |
0.89 |
2005 |
1.22 |
0.51 |
0.52 |
0.07 |
0.30 |
0.39 |
0.73 |
0.42 |
0.48 |
2004 |
1.81 |
0.57 |
0.55 |
1.98 |
0.88 |
0.67 |
1.89 |
0.69 |
0.59 |
2003 |
0.03 |
0.59 |
0.76 |
0.29 |
1.69 |
1.35 |
0.10 |
0.91 |
0.94 |
2002 |
0.67 |
1.15 |
1.64 |
0.08 |
0.89 |
1.17 |
0.51 |
1.08 |
1.53 |
2001 |
0.24 |
0.98 |
0.66 |
0.08 |
0.64 |
0.53 |
0.19 |
0.91 |
0.63 |
2000 |
0.92 |
0.28 |
0.60 |
0.03 |
0.43 |
0.86 |
0.67 |
0.32 |
0.69 |
1999 |
1.99 |
0.36 |
0.65 |
0.47 |
0.36 |
0.79 |
1.58 |
0.36 |
0.70 |
Average |
0.80 |
0.61 |
0.70 |
0.38 |
0.67 |
0.75 |
0.68 |
0.64 |
0.79 |
* Numbers for 2007 are estimates that may change slightly as all losses are reported to RMA.
The average loss ratio for soybeans, which have exhibited a more typical pricing
pattern over this period, is 0.38, significantly lower than RA and CRC.
Premium rates for GRIP (and GRP) are updated on an annual basis and, thus,
are kept up to date with the latest loss experience in the program.
Q: There were no widespread yield declines in 2004 or 2005 for either corn
or soybeans. So why did GRIP have significant indemnity payments when other products
did not?
A: GRIP is a revenue product that provides protection against unexpected declines in revenue,
whether due to low yields, low prices, or some combination thereof. In 2004, both corn and
soybeans had significant price declines from spring to harvest. The corn price declined by
32 percent and soybeans declined by 28 percent (Table 2). Since most GRIP policyholders
purchase the 90-percent coverage level, the price declines alone were sufficient to trigger
indemnity payments, even if there were modest yield increases. In contrast for RA and CRC, most
policyholders purchased coverage levels of 65 to 75 percentcoverage levels for which only minimal
or no indemnity payments were made without the presence of additional yield losses.
Table 2: Base and Harvest Prices for GRIP Corn and Soybeans
Year |
Corn |
Soybeans |
|
GRIP Base |
GRIP Harvest |
% Change |
GRIP Base |
GRIP Harvest |
% Change |
2007 |
$4.06 |
$3.58 |
-12% |
$8.09 |
$9.75 |
21% |
2006 |
$2.59 |
$3.03 |
17% |
$6.18 |
$5.93 |
-4% |
2005 |
$2.38 |
$1.93 |
19% |
$5.99 |
$5.75 |
-4% |
2004 |
$2.93 |
$1.99 |
-32% |
$7.27 |
$5.26 |
28% |
2003 |
$2.38 |
$2.37 |
0% |
$5.23 |
$7.32 |
40% |
2002 |
$2.30 |
$2.43 |
6% |
$4.53 |
$5.45 |
20% |
2001 |
$2.45 |
$2.05 |
-16% |
$4.59 |
$4.37 |
-5% |
2000 |
$2.47 |
$2.11 |
-15% |
$5.24 |
$4.72 |
-10% |
1999 |
$2.44 |
$1.96 |
-20% |
$4.95 |
$4.85 |
-2% |
Q: Why does RMA allow GRIP and GRP policyholders to purchase up to a 90-percent coverage level?
A: The maximum coverage level available for GRIP and GRP is 90 percent, as
compared to 85 percent for APH and the individual revenue products (for example, CRC,
RA). As area products, GRIP and GRP are much less susceptible to fraud and
abuse than are other insurance products, with the result that higher coverage
levels can be offered without raising concerns about moral hazard and adverse
selection. With the 90-percent coverage level,
both frequency and severity of losses will be higher. However, GRIP and GRP
premium rates for the 90-percent coverage level reflect the expected increase in
frequency and severity.
Q: Were excessive expected county yields responsible for the large
GRIP losses in 2004 and 2005?
A: The GRIP losses for 2004 and 2005 were mainly due to decreases in price. GRIP uses
the same expected county yields as GRP. Hence, if GRIP yield guarantees were systematically
too high and leading to excess losses in 2004 and 2005, the loss experience for GRP should
likewise be poor. However, as shown in Table 3, the loss experience of GRP corn and
soybeans was highly favorable, with both crops experiencing loss ratios well below that of
GRIP for both years. The states listed in Table 3 accounted for about 85 percent of total
GRIP liability in 2006. The low loss ratios for GRP indicate that the yields established
for the area plans are generally appropriate; certainly, excessive yield guarantees were
not responsible for large GRIP indemnity payments in either 2004 or 2005.
In 2006, price was much less of a factor in GRIP indemnities. The price for corn
increased and the price for soybeans decreased only slightly. As a result, the actuarial
performance of GRP and GRIP were quite similar for 2006. The 2006 corn loss
ratio for GRP and GRIP is expected to be 0.10 and 0.07, respectively. The soybean loss
ratio for both GRP and GRIP was 0.03. The GRIP loss ratio for corn and soybeans was lower in 2007
than for CRC and RA.
The soybean GRP loss ratio was high in some areas due to significant yield loss.
Table 3: Loss Ratios for GRIP and GRP
State |
Type |
Corn |
Soybeans |
|
|
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007* |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007* |
IA |
GRP |
0.00 |
0.14 |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
GRIP |
1.82 |
0.31 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
3.67 |
0.03 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
IL |
GRP |
0.00 |
0.46 |
0.05 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
2.17 |
GRIP |
1.44 |
2.15 |
0.05 |
0.09 |
2.22 |
0.08 |
0.02 |
0.48 |
IN |
GRP |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.38 |
GRIP |
1.66 |
0.60 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
1.19 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0.20 |
MI |
GRP |
0.04 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
0.47 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
GRIP |
2.82 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.74 |
3.33 |
0.16 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
OH |
GRP |
0.00 |
0.59 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.48 |
GRIP |
1.77 |
0.69 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
1.20 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.21 |
All |
GRP |
0.14 |
0.33 |
0.10 |
0.35 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.03 |
3.46 |
GRIP |
1.81 |
1.22 |
0.11 |
0.28 |
1.98 |
0.07 |
0.03 |
0.39 |
* Numbers for 2007 are estimates that may change slightly as all losses are reported to RMA.
Q: Does RMA monitor the expected yields?
A: RMA monitors and recalculates the expected yields every year to ensure that they
incorporate all available data. This results in some variation in expected yields from
year to year. In 2006, the expected yield in some counties (especially in Illinois)
increased significantly. This was largely a reflection of the high
yields that have been experienced in much of the Corn Belt in recent years.
The higher yields did not result in losses in 2006 as the loss ratios were minimal for both
corn and soybeans. Nevertheless, RMA has contracted with an outside group of experts to review
and evaluate its yield trend methodology. When the report is complete, RMA will make adjustments
to its methodology as warranted.
RMA applied limits to the expected yields for 2007 and beyond.
Expected yields are limited to an increase of no more than 3 percent from the
previous year. They are also limited to be no higher than the third highest
yield observed historically.
Q: Are the NASS county data used for GRP and GRIP reliable?
A: The NASS county average yields, in most instances, are highly correlated with the average of yields reported
directly to RMA by growers who purchase insurance based on their
Actual Production History (APH) – especially in the primary growing areas where most of the
GRIP liability is located. This indicates NASS county average yield data are reliable.
Q: What is the purpose of the 150-percent multiplier and how does it impact the
actuarial soundness of GRIP?
A: The maximum protection per acre makes use of a multiplier that is generally
available with GRIP and GRP programs. The multiplier serves two purposes: (1)
to account for the decreased variability of county-average yields as compared to
individual yields; and (2) to allow growers with above average yields to purchase a
higher level of liability. Growers with below-average yields may
also choose to insure some percentage above the county average. However,
because producers with below-average yields are unable to influence either the
frequency or severity of area plan indemnities, conventional overinsurance
concerns are not applicable. Likewise, adverse selection against the program is
not an issue as the county loss ratio (for a given coverage level) will be the same
whether one, a few, or many producers purchase the coverage.
The multiplier serves to increase the protection per acre (that is, liability) available
with GRP and GRIP policies by up to 150 percent. That is, if the product of the
trended county average yield and the implicit price generated a value of $100 per
acre, the 150-percent factor would increase the maximum protection per acre to $150.
The multiplier does not impact the trigger revenue/yield necessary to collect an
indemnity.
In summary, the multiplier helps producers obtain coverage that better matches
their individual loss expectations, but it has no impact on the actuarial soundness
of either the GRP or GRIP programs.
Q: Do GRIP and GRP provide an effective risk management tool given that
neither provides coverage directly linked to individual losses?
A: Because GRIP and GRP are based on a county average yield, an individual
grower may purchase a GRP/GRIP policy and receive no indemnity payment
even though s/he individually may have suffered a significant loss. However, it is
likewise true that this same grower may receive an indemnity payment even if s/he
individually suffered no loss, but the county as a whole did. This is the nature of
any group or index product, be it GRIP or GRP. As a result, group policies are
most appropriate for growers whose yield or revenue expectations are closely
correlated with that of the county.
There are other differences between GRP/GRIP and an individual policy. GRP
and GRIP do not offer replant payments as do some individual policies. On the
other hand, growers do not have to go through a claims adjustment process
under GRP/GRIP as they do under an individual policy.
Q: When growers sign up for a GRIP or GRP policy, would their APH history still
be available should they decide to switch back to an individual policy?
A: When a grower signs up for a GRIP or GRP policy, no prior reported individual
production history is lost. Insurance companies and RMA still maintain a record
of past production. The GRP Insurance Standards handbook encourages producers to maintain
individual crop yield and acreage history for possible future use in a plan of insurance
that uses APH yield for the same crop.
Should a grower switch back to a yield-based policy (APH, CRC, RA),
he or she is still responsible for certifying production like any
other grower applying for the same coverage. Growers should be aware that if
they do not certify acreage and production for at least the most recent year in
which the crop was grown, the approved APH yield is limited to 65 percent of the
applicable county T-yield.
Q: What is RMA doing to evaluate and monitor GRIP and GRP performance?
A: RMA updates GRIP and GRP premium rates annually. Thus, premium rates
for these products are responsive to any changes in risk that may occur. Also,
RMA is undertaking an evaluation of current yield trending procedures to see if
other approaches may offer some potential for improvement. RMA also
examined pricing behavior on the futures exchanges, with a particular focus on
corn futures to determine whether recent patterns represent a typical or atypical
occurrence.
RMA contracted for an independent study of the GRP program, which was completed in
February 2004. The contractor determined GRP is an actuarially sound plan
of insurance. Additionally, as mentioned in an earlier question, RMA contracted
with an outside group to review its
yield trending methodology, and adjusted that methodology
as warranted.
Contact Information
For more information, contact Griffin Schnitzler.
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